Weekend Stock Market Outlook

Stock Market Outlook For The Week of
January 15th = Uptrend


20/50/200 Day Moving Averages: Uptrend
Price & Volume Action: Uptrend
Objective Elliott Wave Analysis: Uptrend


Another week, another failed attempt at passing Dow 20,000...not that the level itself is all that important. With the exception of the Nasdaq, most of the indexes haven't moving much higher than their mid-December levels. Are we digesting the post-election gains, waiting for earnings, or at the start of a new downtrend?

The Dow Jones took its turn to close below the 20 day moving average, although the Russell 2000 gave it a run for its money. All the indexes remain above their respective 20, 50 and 200 day moving averages.

2017-01-15-US Stock Market Averages

2017-01-15-US Stock Market Averages

Price and volume action remains positive, although the Dow did run into some heavy selling last week. Still, the distribution day counts are reasonable, given the sideways price action we've seen over the past few weeks.

  • NASDAQ = 4 (-)
  • Dow Jones Industrial = 6 (-1 / +2)
  • S&P = 4 (-2)
  • NYSE = 4 (-2)
OEW continues to signal an uptrend. However, short-term action is up for debate. The inability to move prices higher has provided some rationale for a short, 5% correction.

For the detailed Elliott Wave Analysis, go to the ELLIOTT WAVE lives on by Tony Caldaro. Charts provided courtesy of StockCharts.com.